Clinical Trials Bullish 7

37.7% Heart Event Drop with COVID Vaccine Opens New Indication Potential

· 3 min read · Verified by 4 sources ·
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Key Takeaways

  • The 2024-2025 COVID vaccine reduced MACE by 37.7% in a large VA trial, with even greater benefits in high-risk subgroups, sparking biopharma interest in a cardiovascular indication for mRNA vaccines.

Mentioned

2024-2025 COVID-19 Vaccine product U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs organization JAMA Internal Medicine journal Dr. Glenn Hirsch person Influenza Vaccine product

Key Intelligence

Key Facts

  1. 1The 2024–2025 COVID-19 vaccine was associated with a 37.7% reduction in COVID-related major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) over eight months.
  2. 2Veterans aged 75 and older saw a 50.7% decrease in risk.
  3. 3The study analyzed health records from over one million U.S. veterans who received both the COVID-19 and influenza vaccines between September and December 2024.
  4. 4Secondary analyses found even larger reductions in all-cause MACE, hospitalization, and death, suggesting protection may extend beyond COVID-linked heart issues.
  5. 5The study design controlled for healthy vaccinee bias by comparing individuals who received both vaccines to those who only got the flu vaccine.
  6. 6The research, published in JAMA Internal Medicine, was led by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs.
Reduction in COVID-related MACE
37.7% over 8 months

Compared to flu-only vaccine group

The results were not overall surprising, since vaccines either prevent infection or reduce the severity of infection and subsequent inflammation, lowering the cardiovascular risk.

Dr. Glenn Hirsch Cardiologist, National Jewish Health

Commenting on VA study in JAMA Internal Medicine

Analysis

Bull Case
  • 37.7% MACE reduction with strong elderly benefit
  • All-cause mortality and hospitalization also reduced, hinting at broader immunomodulatory effect
  • Leverages VA database for rigorous bias control
Bear Case
  • Study limited to U.S. veterans (mostly male, older), may not generalize
  • No long-term safety data on annual repeated boosters
  • Regulatory pathway for cardiovascular indication unclear

Analysis

Biotech and pharma companies developing next-generation COVID vaccines may now have a new target: cardiovascular event reduction. The VA's robust findings, published in JAMA, demonstrate that updated mRNA vaccines confer substantial cardioprotection beyond their antiviral effects, potentially reshaping label claims and future trial endpoints.

A landmark study published in JAMA Internal Medicine on June 25, 2026, demonstrates that the 2024–2025 formulation of the COVID-19 vaccine significantly reduces the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among U.S. veterans. Analyzing health records from over one million veterans who received both the COVID-19 and influenza vaccines between September and December 2024, researchers at the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs found a 37.7% reduction in COVID-related MACE—comprising heart attack, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and cardiovascular death—over an eight-month follow-up period. The protective effect was most pronounced in those aged 75 and older, who experienced a striking 50.7% decrease in risk, and individuals with chronic health conditions saw greater absolute risk reductions compared to their healthier counterparts.

Department of Veterans Affairs found a 37.7% reduction in COVID-related MACE—comprising heart attack, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and cardiovascular death—over an eight-month follow-up period.

The study's design is particularly robust, addressing the longstanding 'healthy vaccinee bias' by restricting the comparator group to veterans who received only the influenza vaccine, thus ensuring both cohorts had similar health-seeking behaviors. Secondary analyses revealed even larger reductions in all-cause MACE, all-cause hospitalization, and all-cause death, suggesting the vaccine's benefits extend beyond preventing COVID-linked cardiac complications. These findings align with a growing body of evidence that vaccines against infectious diseases can dampen systemic inflammation—a key driver of cardiovascular events—by reducing the likelihood or severity of infection.

Dr. Glenn Hirsch, a cardiologist at National Jewish Health in Denver, contextualized the results, noting that they are 'not overall surprising' given that vaccination either blocks infection or mitigates its inflammatory consequences. Previous research has demonstrated that influenza vaccination alone can lower cardiovascular risk, and the COVID vaccines' mRNA technology may amplify this effect through transient immune activation that paradoxically entrenches long-term cardioprotection.

From a public health perspective, this study provides compelling ammunition for vaccination campaigns targeting populations at high cardiovascular risk—a group that overlaps substantially with those vulnerable to severe COVID-19. For healthcare systems, integrating COVID-19 vaccination into cardiac rehabilitation programs or routine visits for chronic disease management could yield substantial dividends in reducing costly cardiovascular events. The VA's integrated health system model, with its comprehensive electronic health records, offers a blueprint for other large care networks to monitor post-vaccination outcomes in real time.

What to Watch

The implications for vaccine policy are significant. While earlier COVID-19 vaccines were associated with rare myocarditis cases in younger males, this new evidence for net cardiovascular benefit in older, at-risk populations may shift the risk-benefit calculus for regulatory agencies and advisory committees. Booster recommendations could be tailored to emphasize cardiac protection alongside infection prevention, particularly for elderly and comorbid patients. Moreover, the all-cause mortality benefit hints at broader immunomodulatory effects worth investigating in dedicated outcomes trials.

However, generalizability remains a question. The veteran cohort is predominantly male, older, and has higher comorbidity burdens than the general population, though this also makes the results highly relevant for the demographic most vulnerable to MACE. Future research should examine whether the cardioprotective signal holds across diverse populations and with longer follow-up, and whether annual reformulations consistently reproduce these benefits. The study also raises the possibility of pursuing a formal cardiovascular indication for COVID-19 vaccines—a move that would require rigorous trial data but could transform vaccine uptake strategies. For now, the findings add a compelling new dimension to the already broad portfolio of benefits from up-to-date COVID-19 vaccination.

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"37.7% Heart Event Drop with COVID Vaccine Opens New Indication Potential." Biotech Intelligence Brief, June 28, 2026. https://getbiobrief.com/story/covid-vaccine-cardiovascular-indication-bio

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